SUMMER 2003GEOHAZARDS COURSE AT UWI, MONA - page 126

Prepared and compiled by Rafi Ahmad, Unit for Disaster Studies,
Department of Geography and Geology,
University of the West Indies, Mona, Kingston 7, Jamaica

1.8 Concept of time and space

Probability- already discussed in 1.5.
For some hazards, e.g. landslides, specifying a time frame for the occurrence of a phenomenon is difficult to determine even in ideal conditions. As a result hazard is represented by susceptibility, which suggests areas potentially affected by landslides and does not imply a time frame when a landslide might occur.

Magnitude- simply, an expression of the power of a destructive event. Earthquakes- Richter scale, MMI scale, moment scale; Hurricanes- Saffir-Simpson scale.

Frequency- number of events of a given size in a given unit of time; number of events, and their sizes in each of a succession of time units; how often a given magnitude event occurs.

Return period or recurrence interval- is the average length of time between events of a given size; reciprocal of their frequency.

Magnitude-frequency Principle- states that the amount of work done by events of a given size is a product of their magnitude times their frequency of occurrence (Figure 7 and Figure 8).


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