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Caribbean Journal of Education

Prediction of A-Level Performance from Past Performance and Teachers’ Estimates

Publication Date: 
January 1984

The relationships existing between performance in separate subject areas in the Cambridge Advanced Level Examinations (A-Level) and past performance (PP) in Cambridge Ordinary Level, and Caribbean Examinations Council General Level Examinations on the one hand, and teacher estimates (TE) on the other, formed the major focus of this study. TE were, on the whole, better predictors of A-Level performance than PP, and were more reliable for girls than boys in arts subjects, and for boys than girls in the sciences. Although the correlations between A-Level and both PP and TE were, for the most part, highly significant, there was a strong tendency in most schools and subject areas for teachers to over-estimate students’ grades. Implications of these findings for sixth form education are discussed.

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